What do we know right now? The following states are outstanding:
Nevada Biden lead
Wisconsin Biden lead
Pennsylvania Trump lead with Biden leading in the 1.6M mail-in votes
Michigan Biden lead
Georgia Trump lead with Biden leading in the 400K mil-in votes
North Carolina Trump lead with 300K mail-in votes outstanding
Maine Biden lead
Alaska Trump lead
Biden has made a thoughtful call for calm and to allow the process of counting votes to continue. However, Trump made an announcement at 2:30 AM today stating that he has won and the voting should stop. I guess no one told him that voting stopped yesterday. Trump also stated that the vote counting should continue in Arizona and Nevada, but that it should stop in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. I wonder why. Finally, Trump stated that he is going directly to the Supreme Court to contest the Democrats “stealing” this election. That is not how our judicial system works.
Let me assuage any trepidation among you. What we have seen as of right now is the much discussed red mirage. We knew coming into election day that Republicans would vote in greater numbers on election day, and those votes would be counted first. We also knew that that mail-in ballots would be counted last, and that those votes overwhelmingly supported Biden. Biden is going to win and the final electoral college vote will be very close to the tier one model that I wrote about yesterday. My new prediction is as follows:
I am concerned about the Senate. If the Republicans remain in control on the Senate, we will have another two years of nothing getting done. What is fascinating about the results as they stand right now is that we are a 50-50 nation. This is more than just we are half Trump supporters and half Trump haters. My model shows that Trump will win 25 states and Biden will win the other 25. We are literally a divided nation.